While the main opposition party might be slightly ahead, it does not have the necessary 61 seats for coalition. Ultimately, in 60 days, I believe Netaniahu will build a coalition yet again
Posted on | April 7, 2019 | No Comments
Elections in Israel will take place day after tomorrow. While the opposition party led by General Benjamin Gantz is slightly ahead, I believe that ultimately Netaniahu will be the
one to form the coalition. After the election the president of Israel gives the winning party 30 days to form the coalition. Center =left parties have only 54 out of 120 seats in Knesset, not enough for 61 seat majority.
So, even if Gantz has the largest number of votes, he does not have enough to build the coalition. So, I believe the President of Israel, Reuven Rivlin will give Gantz30 days. Gantz will not be likely to form the coalition in those 30 days, at which time Rivlin will give Netaniahu 30 days and Netaniyahu is likely to succeed.
| Date | Polling firm | Hadash –Ta’al |
Ra’am –Balad |
Meretz | Labor | Blue & White |
Gesher | Kulanu | Yisrael Beiteinu |
Likud | Zehut | New Right |
United Right |
Shas | UTJ | L | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current seats[8] | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 30 | N/A | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 66 |
| 5 Apr | Election silence starting end of Friday before election day.[9] | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 Apr | Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13[10] | 6 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 28 | (2.8%) | 4 | 4 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 66 |
| 5 Apr | Smith/Maariv[11] | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29 | (2.6%) | 5 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 66 |
| 5 Apr | Maagar Mohot/Radio 103FM[12] | 7 | – | 7 | 9 | 31 | – | 6 | – | 28 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 66 |
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