Polls for March 15th primaries show Trump leading with huge margins
Posted on | March 4, 2016 | No Comments
Michigan – home to 59 delegates, the largest of any state ahead of March 15 – a new EPIC-MRA poll was released last night:
1. Donald Trump: 45%
2. Marco Rubio: 14%
3. Ted Cruz: 10%
4. John Kasich: 5%
A Mitchell Research poll conducted over a similar period found a more competitive race, but with the frontrunner still poised to win with relative ease.
1. Donald Trump: 39%
2. Marco Rubio: 19%
3. Ted Cruz: 14%
4. John Kasich: 12%
I’ve seen some suggestions that if Trump has a regional weakness, it may be the Midwest: he not only came in second in Iowa, despite polls showing him ahead, but his only third-place finish this year was in Minnesota. That said, if Trump wins Michigan, this chatter will likely fade away. (As of this morning, FiveThirtyEight gives Trump an 82% chance of winning the state.)
In Louisiana, meanwhile, a Magellan Strategies poll released yesterday showed the race shaping upthis way:
1. Donald Trump: 41%
2. Ted Cruz: 21%
3. Marco Rubio: 15%
4. John Kasich: 9%
And Magellan Strategies also polled Mississippi Republicans, and released these results:
1. Donald Trump: 41%
2. Ted Cruz: 17%
3. Marco Rubio: 16%
4. John Kasich: 8%
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