Elections guru, Nate Silver of 538, states that that Clinton is only 1 electoral vote away from losing . According to my calculations, she already lost that 1 electoral vote
Posted on | November 7, 2016 | No Comments
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/2a766d9f-fcaa-35f6-b697-ab84d696a546/ss_video%3A-nate-silver-on.html
Yesterday, an elections guru, Nate Silver of 538, appeared on ABC with George Stephanopolis. He stated that, according to his calculations, Clinton has no margin for error, she now has exactly 270 electoral votes, meaning that if she loses 1 electoral vote, she will lose the election. Silver shows Trump leading in most battleground states: Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Nevada, New Hampshire. The one electoral vote that put her over the top in his calculation, is Maine District 2. However, according to most polls and according to the Real Clear Politics average, Trump is leading in Maine 2, particularly in light of the fact that MPRC poll, done by the Democrats, shows Trump ahead there by 3%. This means that Clinton already lost this 1 electoral vote and the actual electoral math is 269/269 tie. The tie means a victory for Trump, as, in case of a tie, the GOP led House of Representatives will break the tie in Trump’s favor.
By Dr. Orly Taitz, ESQ
Maine CD2: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein
| Poll | Date | Sample |
Trump (R)
|
Clinton (D)
|
Johnson (L)
|
Stein (G)
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/24 – 10/30 | — | 41.5 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | Trump +0.5 |
| Emerson | 10/28 – 10/30 | 375 LV | 42 | 44 | 6 | 2 | Clinton +2 |
| MPRC (D) | 10/24 – 10/26 | 382 LV | 41 | 38 | 8 | 3 | Trump +3 |
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