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What is Trump’s path to 269 electoral votes and victory?

Posted on | October 29, 2016 | 1 Comment

Trump is likely to carry the states won by Romney- this gives him 206 electoral votes (ev).

He already flipped additional states of Ohio-18ev, Iowa-6ev and District 2 in Maine-1ev. This gives Trump 231 ev-s

Trump is in a statistical tie and is likely to carry Florida-29 ev-s and Nevada-6 ev-s . This will give Trump 266 ev.

He needs one more small state. The most likely candidate is New Hampshire-4 ev. Latest Emerson poll shows Trump only 3% behind in NH. This will put Trump at 270.

Other states, where Trump is close, are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Colorado, Michigan and New Mexico.

What Trump needs,  is investing in ads in those states, particularly in NH, NE, FL and NC.

At the beginning of the campaign Trump promised to invest a billion dollars of his own money, if need be, to win the presidency. So far, he spent 50 mln during the GOP primary and only 25 million during the general election (that includes 10 mln that he donated to his campaign lately). Please, call Trump and urge him to spend more of his money to win the general election. Clinton is leading so far because she largely out-spent Trump on ads, particularly in swing states, and she has a better organization. For example, in Trump’s must win state of NH, Clinton had 54 offices and Trump only  9 offices.

Now is the time for Trump to put his money where his mouth is and win. If he is elected, his company will do fabulously and he will recoup all of his money and then some.

Comments

One Response to “What is Trump’s path to 269 electoral votes and victory?”

  1. Paula Hoehn
    October 29th, 2016 @ 4:48 pm

    Dear Orly,

    https://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/counties/wake-county/article111325042.html

    October 29, 2016 2:20 PM
    Chinese-American group funds aerial Trump ad

    Excerpt:
    “A group of Chinese-Americans who support Republican Donald Trump for president had a Trump banner flown behind a plane on Saturday in Sanford. David Ranii – dranii@newsobserver.com”

    By David Ranii
    dranii@newsobserver.com

    Excerpt:
    “SANFORD — A group of local Chinese-Americans took their support for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump to new heights on Saturday.”

    Excerpt:
    “The results were visible across much of the Triangle.”

    Excerpt:
    “The 180-horsepower Aviat Husky A-1B’s scheduled four-hour flight path started at the Raleigh Executive Airport in Sanford and included a flyby of Carter-Finley Stadium prior to the game between N.C. State and Boston College. Also on the schedule: downtown Raleigh, Cary, Apex, Morrisville, Garner, Holly Springs, Chapel Hill and Durham.”

    (See Airplane with Trump banner):

    https://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/counties/wake-county/1l6id1/picture111372247/ALTERNATES/FREE_480/102916-CHINESETRUMP-DR002

    ——–
    Paula Hoehn

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