Why betting on election is a bad predictor
Posted on | July 2, 2016 | No Comments
A number of idiots sent me e-mails saying that betting on election is a good predictor and according to recent bets Clinton will win.
Well, please look at the bets on Brexit.
Just 1 day before the election the bets said that the Remain vote will win and Brexit will lose. Bloomberg was showing that the “Remain” vote had 75% probability to win and Brexit only 25% probability. However, Brexit won. So betting is garbage, don’t send me betting averages anymore, they go directly to SPAM, concentrate on saving this nation from the globalist organized crime and help Trump get elected.
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