Obama is pushing for toppling of Netanyahu in order to reach a deal with Iran, however Netanyahu is still in the best position to form a coalition
Posted on | March 11, 2015 | 2 Comments
Obama regime and its’ donors, such as George Soros, have assisted in toppling of governments. We saw US actively engaged in toppling President Mubarak in Egypt and placing Muslim Brotherhood in power. Thankfully, Egyptians were able to topple reactive radical Muslim regime and put a moderate government in power. Same happened in other Middle Eastern countries. Soros’s NGOs were hard at work in toppling the government in Ukraine, which gave Soros an access to Ukraine’s natural resources, but also led to a war in Ukraine.
Currently,a foundation, which received US tax payer funds, is actively working to topple the government of Benjamin Netanyahu. The polls show swings to the right and left and Obama media is trumpeting a possible government change, as coalition on the left, called Zionist Union, which consists of Labor and Hatnuah had 3 mandates more than Netanyahu’s Likud in a couple of polls.
What people do not understand, is that the elections in Israel are different from the elections in the US. In the US people vote for the president and the winner takes all. In Israel people are voting for the party and parties get a certain number of votes in the parliament and the parties who form a coalition of 61 seats, form a government. One party never ran a government in Israel, it is always a coalition of multiple parties, which has to have at least 61 mandates or seats in 120 seat Knesset. As in many European Democracies, the President of Israel gives the leader of a party, which got the most mandates in the election, an opportunity to form a majority coalition and the government. If he is not able to form a coalition, then the leader of the party with the second largest number of votes gets an opportunity to form the coalition. Here is the essence of the elections in Israel and a problem for the leftist parties. Even if Labor gets the highest number of votes, it does not have enough parties willing to join its’ coalition in order to reach 61 mandates. The main obstacle for the left, is the fact that Jewish Religious parties naturally align themselves with the right, with Netanyahu. This is particularly true after the left announced that students of religious seminaries, who refuse to serve in the military, will be thrown in prison. additionally, religious parties and Netanyahu support settlement, which the left does not support. On the other hand, neither right nor left can or will build a coalition with a block of Muslim parties as there is an existential threat coming from Islamist move to destroy Israel. (Muslim parties UAL-Ta’al and Balad together with the Communists have 12 mandates).
There are a couple of swing votes or parties, which can join either a coalition on the right or on the left, such as Yesh Atid (12 mandates) and Kulanu (8 mandates). In fact, Moshe Hablon, the leader of Kulanu, was a member of Netanyahu’s government, but chose to form his own small party in order to address some economic issues. However, even with the swing votes, the left has 24+12+6+8. A total of 50 mandates. They are 11 mandates short of majority. On the other hand, Netanyahu’s path to coalition in the worst case scenario, if Likud gets only 21 mandates, will be 21+6+13+7+7+4+8. A total of 66 mandates. So, regardless of which party has the highest number of votes in the election, which will be held in a couple of days, and who gets the first bite of the apple, the main question is, which party is capable of building a coalition of 61 mandates. At this point it is only Netanyahu.
| Date | Poll | Likud | Yisrael Beiteinu |
Yesh Atid |
Labor [a] |
Hatnuah [a] |
Jewish Home |
Shas | UTJ | Meretz | Hadash [b] |
UAL– Ta’al[b] |
Balad [b] |
Otzma [c] |
Yachad [c] |
Kulanu | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 election results | 31 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | N/A | N/A | |||||
| 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 Mar | Midgam/Israel Army Radio (Galatz)[2] | 21 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 8 | |||||||
| 10 Mar | Panels/Knesset Channel[3] | 21 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 9 | |||||||
| 10 Mar | Channel 2[4] | 21 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 8 | |||||||
| 8 Mar | Geocartography[5] | 26 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 8 | |||||||
| 6 Mar | Yisrael Hayom[6] | 23 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 9 | |||||||

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2 Responses to “Obama is pushing for toppling of Netanyahu in order to reach a deal with Iran, however Netanyahu is still in the best position to form a coalition”
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29839 Sta Margarita Pkwy, 
Videography by Barbara Rosenfeld 

March 11th, 2015 @ 10:36 am
The seminary students oppose the State of Israel, and by refusing to work, pay taxes or serve in the army, are a growing financial drain on everyone else, especially as they have huge families. Why is it wrong to expect them to contribute?
March 11th, 2015 @ 10:43 am
it is not wrong to demand they contribute, however, the reality is that religious parties have nearly a quarter of the seats in the Knesset and they typically join Netanyahu coalition.