How do you create an “umph” or current political layout analysis
Posted on | August 28, 2010 | No Comments
Currently there are 57 Dem Senators, 41 Repubs and 2 Independents.
Independents: Sanders and Liberman typically vote with Dems, so repubs need 9 more seats to tie and 10 more seats to take the Senate.
Keep in mind that only a third of the senate seats are due for re-election -33. About 40% of them are Repubs, so you have only about 20 seats at play and so far the predictions are, that only 7 are likely to be lost by the Dems, not enough to take the senate.
In Congress Dems have 255 seats, Repubs 180. Repubs will need to gain 38 seats for majority. Latest polls are showing them gaining 33-35, not quiet enough to retake the house. Repubs really need an “umph” to put them over the top.
Now, remember that during Watergate, when Nixon refused to produce the tapes, it became a catalyst, an “umph” that mobilized the anger and resentment in the populace. The same happened with Clinton during the Lewinski affair and his famous “what is is”. Voters hate stonewalling.
Now, going back to the issue of elligibility. My latest pleadings created anger. I showed that Judge Lamberth, chief U.S. district judge for the District of Columbia felt that he had jurisdiction to order the Russian Federation to produuce docs. Who is the respondent for the Russian Federation? President of Russia. If he has jurisdiction to order the pres of Russia to produce docs, why doesn’t he have jurisdiction to order the U.S. pres to produce his birth certificate and SS application? I showed that I had $20,000 damages, I have standing, I need discovery and production of these docs.
Of course, Lamberth might seat on it and do nothing. On the other hand he might order discovery. If he does, Obama will be in the corner, as there are too many discrepances in his SS, BC and passport records. BO will not be able to BS this one. So, what is the most likely move for him? Stonewalling!!! This stonewalling will be a catalyst for more and more anger. This catalyst can motivate people to vote in this midterm election in close races. It might help Carly Fiorina in a close CA race against Barbara Boxer, it might help Marco Rubio, who is now trailing Charlie Christ, running as an independent in Fl. A lot of retired Jewish voters, who typically vote for Democrats in FL might vote for Rubio, same might happen in NY in a race against Gilderbrand and in WI against Chuck Feingold.
There are other developments in other courts and other cases, the scenarios are more complicated an more long term, I will not go into those at the moment, I will keep it simple. Will there be an “umph”? Let’s wait and see.
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