Posted on | August 4, 2009 | Comments Off on
Washington Examiner Political Digest
Byron York – You can bet on it: Obama will raise your taxes
In January, Obama’s job approval rating among the two highest income groups was 69 and 67 percent, respectively. Now, more than a quarter of that support has disappeared. Put another way, a large segment of the broad middle class is dropping away from Obama.
What is happening?
“After all this discussion about health care and cap and trade and loss of jobs and the budget and the stimulus, this group is suddenly beginning to feel particularly vulnerable to tax increases,” says one Republican pollster. “They don’t see how things are going to work out for them in a positive way, and they worry that instead of being in a position to bounce back from the present economic environment, in fact more money may be taken away from them.”
Michael Barone – The prospect of losing your health insurance
The prospect of hanging, Samuel Johnson famously said, concentrates the mind. So, it seems, does the prospect of losing your health insurance and being forced into a government plan—the unstated and indeed denied, but also obvious intention of the Democratic “government option” health care bills. Or so I conclude from pollster Scott Rasmussen’s report that 48% of likely voters now consider the American health care system excellent or good. That’s a big increase from May, when only 35% rated it so highly. Also, 80% of those with health insurance rated it as excellent or good, up from 70% in May.
As I pointed out in my Sunday Examiner column, our current health insurance arrangements give most Americans a choice of insurance policies every year. If they don’t like the policy they have they can avail themselves of (in economist Albert Hirschman’s term) the option of exit. In contrast, if you were confined to a single government plan and didn’t like it, you would have to exercise (Hirschman’s term again) the option of voice. Exit is easy to exercise: just choose another insurance option for the next calendar year. Voice is a lot harder: you have to convince your congressman to vote for something different, he has to persuade a majority of his colleagues to do so, which means setting up lobbying groups, etc., etc.
Fairfax approves expansion of Islamic academy
Fairfax County supervisors on Monday narrowly voted to let a Saudi-funded Islamic prep school expand its campus on a hazardous country road, capping a months-long debate that mashed traffic concerns with accusations that the school’s curriculum fosters religious intolerance.
The Board of Supervisors, in one of the most delicate decisions in their recent history, voted 6-4 to approve a construction project that would expand the Islamic Saudi Academy’s 34-acre property on Popes Head Road in Fairfax by roughly 230 students. It currently has about 270 students.
Byron York – The Sotomayor debate will be about Obama
This week the Senate, probably without much press coverage, will hold a multi-day debate on the Supreme Court nomination of Sonia Sotomayor. I asked a Senate source how Republicans will handle the debate, given that the outcome, in a 60-Democrat Senate, is already known. “They’ll continue to explain why the Empathy Standard is wrong for the judiciary,” came the answer.
That indicates that Republicans will bear down hard on Sotomayor’s rejection of President Obama’s famous statement that he wanted “empathy” in a high court nominee. Before Sotomayor was selected, Obama cited “empathy” as a key quality he was searching for in a candidate and said he wanted “someone who understands that justice isn’t about some abstract legal theory or footnote in a casebook. It’s also about how our laws affect the daily realities of people’s lives — whether they can make a living and care for their families, whether they feel safe in their homes and welcome in their own nation.”
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